Research program

Calibrated confidence and repairable rationality.

A connected program spanning epistemology, credencing, metaethics, evidence standards, rational disagreement, and AI-assisted inquiry.

Conceptual framework

Four connected lines of inquiry

The topics share one diagnostic question: does confidence remain answerable to available evidence?

Epistemology

Credence before binary knowledge.

Belief is treated as a graded evidential posture, revisable in response to uncertainty, alternatives, and defeaters.

Credencing

Make confidence auditable.

Claims should state their support, confidence range, live alternatives, and the evidence that would trigger an update.

Metaethics

Value without a moral realm.

Moral language compresses affect, preference, vulnerability, social coordination, and proposed regulation without requiring stance-independent moral facts.

Rationality / AI

Prosthetic, not oracle.

AI can widen search and simulate objections, but its output still requires source traceability, calibration, and human update discipline.

Epistemic architecture

Evidence, perception, credence, and speech are separate layers.

Separating the layers avoids treating disagreement, uncertainty, ignorance, rationalization, and bad faith as one blunt failure.

Evidence available

What information, base rates, testimony, observations, and alternatives are actually accessible?

Evidence perceived

Which parts of that situation does the agent notice, understand, or suppress?

Confidence assigned

Does the resulting credence track the evidence as the agent understands it?

Commitment expressed

Does public language preserve uncertainty, or inflate partial belief into flat certainty?

Selected papers

Research entry points

Start with these representative publication records, then continue to the full first-party index.

Epistemology

Warranted Uncertainty

Confidence, evidence, and the discipline of leaving room for live alternatives.

View publication record

Credencing

Credence Grammar

The public language required to communicate partial belief without fake precision.

View publication record

Metaethics

The Parsimonious World of the Moral Non-Realist

What remains of value and human stakes after removing a stance-independent moral realm.

View publication record

AI / Rationality

AI as Deep Rationality Prosthetic

AI as a tool for search, comparison, and objection rather than an epistemic oracle.

View publication record