Warranted Uncertainty
Why responsible confidence must leave room for live alternatives and defeaters.
First-party index
Publications
Selected work on graded belief, moral non-realism, rationality, AI-mediated inquiry, religion, and consistent evidential standards.
Research area
Epistemology and credencing
Confidence, uncertainty, disagreement, and the public grammar of partial belief.
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Credence Grammar
A public language for confidence ranges, support, defeaters, and update conditions.
Disagreement Without Diagnosis
Why opposing conclusions do not by themselves identify where reasoning failed.
The Phenomenology of Certainty
Felt conviction is psychologically important but not self-validating evidence.
The Two-Gap Theory of Irrationality
Separating failures of evidence access from failures of credence alignment.
Inductive Symmetry and the Smuggling of Necessity
How asymmetric standards can import modal confidence that the evidence does not supply.
Research area
Metaethics and moral language
Human value and social stakes without stance-independent moral facts.
The Parsimonious World of the Moral Non-Realist
Illegitimate questions, surviving values, and life without a moral realm.
No Moral Realm
Permissibility and the misreading of non-wrongness under moral non-realism.
How to Test a “Moral” System
A framework for evaluating coherence, consequences, and social regulation without assuming objectivity.
The Conditions of Moral Coherence
What a moral vocabulary must preserve if it is to guide action without conceptual inflation.
Normativity Disambiguated
Separating recommendation, force, convention, authority, and motivation.
The Semantic Creep of Faith
How an evidentially protected term expands into neighboring forms of confidence.
Research area
Rationality, institutions, and AI
How agents and systems search, compare, update, rationalize, and communicate confidence.
AI as Deep Rationality Prosthetic
AI as a tool for evidence search and objection simulation rather than an oracle.
Intelligence as Rationalization Engine
Why argumentative ability can protect existing confidence instead of improving it.
Epistemic Akrasia and the Fear of Updating
The motivational pressures that make evidence-responsive revision costly.
Likelihood Literacy
Base rates, likelihood ratios, and the practical discipline of evidential comparison.
Institutional Credencing
How incentives, public commitments, and organizational structure shape updating.
Hiddenness and Free Will
A popular paper examining divine hiddenness and appeals to human freedom.
Reader interest · as of July 20, 2026
Popular and related work
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Index reviewed July 20, 2026.